Worthwhile voting
I know the odds are basically ZERO that a single vote will make a difference today but the race in Massachusetts is worth voting.
Why? Am I being hypocritical?
Probably I am.
The main reason why a vote in a Senate race rarely matters is two-fold. First of all, the odds are against you changing the outcome of your race and, second of all, the odds are that it really doesn't make any difference whether the Democrats have 43 or 44 votes. It does make a difference at 50 and 60. This is one of the times where it makes a difference at 60.
So, normally you have an absurdly small number like 1 in 100,000 (of making a difference in a single race) multiplied by a small number like 1 in 10 being the important number like 60. Now, you know that this race does make the difference so, assuming my numbers are correct (which they aren't) then a vote in Massachusetts today is worth 10 times the vote in a normal Senate election. I also think Massachusetts is fairly close today.
BTW, I thought it was absurd a few days ago when the Democrat was at 90. I think it also absurd when the Democrat was at 17.7%. Too bad I didn't make both bets and take a sure 70 cent profit.
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Obviously, Democrats are not
Obviously, Democrats are not logical.
Thought I made a comment this
Thought I made a comment this afternoon that said go to Intrade.com Guess i didn't save it. By early afternoon folks were saying the election is over and even cited intrade as a source to show that it was true.
Since when are we logical?
Thought of that when some sent me the following:
http://www.cracked.com/article_18388_6-logical-fallacies-that-cost-you-m...